Climate change

Summary of the French contribution to the SPDMM report

The South Pacific is often seen as one of the areas most exposed to the impacts of climate change in the world. Small island states, even if they are far from being the only ones affected, bear witness to the effects of climate change more than any other, and particularly to rising sea levels. In this context, small islands will often serve as laboratories, experimental spaces in which the uncertainties that still surround the local impacts of climate change will be miniaturised, reduced to the single issue of sea level rise. However, the impacts of climate change that these areas are and will be confronted with go far beyond the single issue of sea level rise.

31 December 2018
Research methodologies and tools
Research methodologies and tools

North Africa foresight

The first part of this report proposes a regional analysis of the main vulnerabilities to climate change, the potential breaking points, as well as the challenges and state responses. It then provides a country-by-country analysis of Algeria, Tunisia and Morocco.

15 January 2018
Human security issues
Human security issues

Sahel foresight

The aim of this study is to understand the extent to which climatic and environmental factors are likely to contribute, in the near future (2030/2050), to the emergence and/or aggravation of tensions, crises and even conflicts in the Sahelo-Saharan strip.

15 September 2017
Research methodologies and tools
Defense issues
Research methodologies and tools
Defense issues

Scientific data and climate scenarios

The objective of this report is to present climate change and its impacts according to two warming scenarios: the first is based on an increase in average surface temperature of 2°C by 2100, which is the most optimistic scenario established by the IPCC (RCP2.6); the second is based on an increase of 5°C by 2100, which is almost the most pessimistic scenario (RCP8.5). The physical, socio-economic and health impacts of these two scenarios are assessed for the time horizons 2030 and 2050.

31 May 2017
Research methodologies and tools
Research methodologies and tools

Retrospective and crisis typology

To what extent do climatic or environmental factors play a role in triggering crises or even conflicts? This question still has no clear answer. Research has produced a number of reports examining the links between climate change and the outbreak of violence, but without clearly establishing the existence and nature of causal links. This report aims to contribute to this debate.

28 February 2017