Conflict

Defense issues
Human security issues
Defense issues
Human security issues

Security Challenges of Water Stress in Southern Europe

This note assesses how water stress, a growing phenomenon defined by high tension on water resources caused by an imbalance between water supply and demand, can be exacerbated by climate change and human activities, and affect societies in southern Europe and the French armed forces when conducting their missions. This note is divided in three sections: an analysis of the societal consequences of water stress in southern Europe and the potential associated conflicts (I), a study of the operational and organizational challenges that water stress generates for the French armed forces and their European partners (II), and finally, three foresight scenarios to 2050, with recommendations for the Ministry of the Armed Forces (III).

6 November 2024
Human security issues
Human security issues

Sahel foresight

The aim of this study is to understand the extent to which climatic and environmental factors are likely to contribute, in the near future (2030/2050), to the emergence and/or aggravation of tensions, crises and even conflicts in the Sahelo-Saharan strip.

15 September 2017
Research methodologies and tools
Research methodologies and tools

Retrospective and crisis typology

To what extent do climatic or environmental factors play a role in triggering crises or even conflicts? This question still has no clear answer. Research has produced a number of reports examining the links between climate change and the outbreak of violence, but without clearly establishing the existence and nature of causal links. This report aims to contribute to this debate.

28 February 2017