Crisis

Human security issues
Human security issues

Southeast Asia foresight

This thirteenth study report by the Climate and Defense Observatory presents the elements collected on five countries in Southeast Asia: Burma, Cambodia, Laos, Thailand and Vietnam. It is organised around five country profiles, headed by a regional analysis highlighting vulnerabilities and cross-cutting challenges, commonalities and differences.

15 May 2020
Research methodologies and tools
Human security issues
Research methodologies and tools
Human security issues

Western Indian Ocean foresight

This ninth study report by the Defence and Climate Observatory presents the elements collected on the countries of the Indian Ocean Commission (IOC): the Comoros, Madagascar, Mauritius and the Seychelles. It is organised around four country profiles, headed by a regional analysis highlighting vulnerabilities and cross-cutting challenges, commonalities and differences.

31 May 2019
Research methodologies and tools
Human security issues
Research methodologies and tools
Human security issues

South Pacific

This eighth report of the Observatory presents the elements collected on Fiji, Papua New Guinea, Tonga, Tuvalu and Vanuatu. The five sheets propose, as far as possible, elements of assessment of climate vulnerability in prospective horizons, reflections on their possible translation into security terms, a brief analysis of public policies on climate, an evaluation of the role of the armed forces and civil security forces in the management of natural disasters, as well as crisis scenarios (trend and breakdown).

28 February 2019
Research methodologies and tools
Defense issues
Research methodologies and tools
Defense issues

Scientific data and climate scenarios

The objective of this report is to present climate change and its impacts according to two warming scenarios: the first is based on an increase in average surface temperature of 2°C by 2100, which is the most optimistic scenario established by the IPCC (RCP2.6); the second is based on an increase of 5°C by 2100, which is almost the most pessimistic scenario (RCP8.5). The physical, socio-economic and health impacts of these two scenarios are assessed for the time horizons 2030 and 2050.

31 May 2017
Research methodologies and tools
Research methodologies and tools

Retrospective and crisis typology

To what extent do climatic or environmental factors play a role in triggering crises or even conflicts? This question still has no clear answer. Research has produced a number of reports examining the links between climate change and the outbreak of violence, but without clearly establishing the existence and nature of causal links. This report aims to contribute to this debate.

28 February 2017