Western Indian Ocean foresight
This ninth study report by the Defence and Climate Observatory presents the elements collected on the countries of the Indian Ocean Commission (IOC): the Comoros, Madagascar, Mauritius and the Seychelles. It is organised around four country profiles, headed by a regional analysis highlighting vulnerabilities and cross-cutting challenges, commonalities and differences.
The four sheets propose four distinct parts devoted respectively to
– observed and expected changes in the climate (as far as possible at the selected time horizons, 2030 and 2050) and the impacts that these changes may have on human systems
– a brief analysis of public policies to combat climate change (mitigation/adaptation) but also in terms of prevention and management of natural risks
– an assessment of the role of the military and civil security forces in natural disaster management
– the presentation of crisis scenarios (trend and breakdown) in which environmental and/or climatic parameters play a more or less significant role.
For the purposes of the study, several interviews were conducted with experts and representatives of local armies (Annex 1).
This report is part of France’s participation in the Environmental Security in Antarctica, the Southern Ocean and the Eastern Indian Ocean project, initiated by the Australian Department of Defence and structured around several workshops.
