Security

Defense issues
Defense issues

Solar Geoengineering: Geostrategic and Defence issues

Techniques and their recent developments highlight the prospect of large-scale deployment of solar geoengineering over the coming decades. It therefore seems necessary to explore the security and strategic issues raised by these techniques, which this note sets out to do in four stages: a presentation of the techniques studied and the associated natural and human risks (I); an analysis of the geostrategic and defence issues they raise (II); four hypotheses, and three prospective scenarios narrating the deployment of solar geoengineering techniques by 2050, together with recommendations for the Ministry of Defence (IV).

29 November 2023
Defense issues
Defense issues

Agricultural resources and climate change: defence and security issues

This brief addresses the security issues related to the impact of climate change on agricultural resources. It is divided into three parts: an analysis of the vulnerability of agricultural resources to climate change; an examination of the strategic and defence issues related to securing them; and an identification of geopolitical and security breakpoints.

26 April 2023
Research methodologies and tools
Research methodologies and tools

CEMC: Climate change evaluation Methodology for military camps

Climate change has been mentioned for several years in armed forces strategic documents, whether it be in documents from the French ministry for the Armed Forces1 or foreign ministries of Defense. Often these changes are seen as a threat to national and international security or as a risk/threat multiplier, especially due to the increased intensity and frequency of extreme and slow-onset climate events and their consequences on the strategic landscape.

29 September 2021
Human security issues
Human security issues

Impacts of climate change on parking points in Overseas France and abroad – Ivory Coast’s case

Research on the security impacts of climate change has so far focused largely on conflict risks and human security threats. While climate change is known to have a multiplier effect on threats to security and stability, its impact on military infrastructure has received little attention. Yet a large number of military infrastructures are located in areas that will be particularly affected by the impacts of climate change. With the exception of the United States and Australia, very few countries have undertaken an assessment of their military infrastructure, whereas a great many studies exist on the vulnerability of civilian infrastructure.

1 July 2019
Research methodologies and tools
Human security issues
Research methodologies and tools
Human security issues

Environmental security in the eastern Indian Ocean, Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. A risk mapping approach

This report arises from a Track 1.5 Australia–France–India strategic dialogue held in New Delhi in January 2018. It builds on a French proposal introduced at that meeting. In this study, Australian and French teams did a joint risk-mapping exercise for the area south of latitude 60°S.

21 June 2019
Research methodologies and tools
Research methodologies and tools

North Africa foresight

The first part of this report proposes a regional analysis of the main vulnerabilities to climate change, the potential breaking points, as well as the challenges and state responses. It then provides a country-by-country analysis of Algeria, Tunisia and Morocco.

15 January 2018
Human security issues
Human security issues

Sahel foresight

The aim of this study is to understand the extent to which climatic and environmental factors are likely to contribute, in the near future (2030/2050), to the emergence and/or aggravation of tensions, crises and even conflicts in the Sahelo-Saharan strip.

15 September 2017